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On Thursday the forecasters increased their predictions for
an unusually active Atlantic hurricane season, noting the number of storms so
far and atmospheric and oceanic conditions that favour hurricane development.
There is an 85-per-cent chance of an above-normal hurricane
season, an increase from a May prediction of a 65-per-cent chance, the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Centre said.
An average season has 11 named storms, including six
hurricanes for which two reach major status.
The hurricane season lasts from June through November, and
the latest predictions are timed to coincide with the most active hurricane
period from August through October.
There is a 67-per-cent chance that 14 to 18 named storms
will develop, including seven to 10 hurricanes, the prediction said. Three to
six of those hurricanes could be major, reaching category 3 or higher, the
centre said.
It had earlier called for 12 to 16 named storms, with six to
nine hurricanes and two to five major hurricanes.
There have been five named storms so far this season,
including Tropical Storm Arthur, which pounded Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula in
late May and early June, and Hurricane Dolly, which hit the US- Mexican border
late last month. The most recent, Tropical Storm Edouard, dumped heavy rain on Texas earlier this week.
None of the storms to date have been rated a category 3 or higher.
Tropical cyclones have been responsible for killing millions
of people and causing significant property damage. Hurricane Katrina killed
over 1,800 people in the U.S.
and cause damage estimated at $100 billion.
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